Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 18.823235 21.370714 24.146205 27.396358 31.100396 35.193033 40.061960
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 15.462005 18.838387 22.790343 27.764131 33.867142 41.124885 50.431477
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 12.427039 16.127005 20.744923 26.946709 35.082218 45.424865 59.626620
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 10.081936 13.875735 18.903120 26.078490 36.101800 49.673708 69.560581
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.483154 12.343227 17.757405 25.945959 38.092864 55.565645 82.822937
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.315352 11.221585 17.004769 26.249514 40.776316 62.924525 99.631254
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.285309 10.135113 16.133887 26.241495 43.020832 70.067806 117.577581
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.631895 9.527625 15.904187 27.208660 47.000520 80.677223 143.288116
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.943238 8.748816 15.273688 27.411211 49.762543 89.805102 168.403993
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.224218 7.799033 14.200821 26.660843 50.726163 95.993522 189.550695
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.683779 7.081674 13.425456 26.321278 52.398321 103.814943 215.529342
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.374380 6.748297 13.309549 27.229483 56.679306 117.510550 256.395919
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.109169 6.471581 13.286468 28.386278 61.839464 134.305106 308.385271
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.792939 6.037951 12.878166 28.674123 65.244394 148.152028 357.291762
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.421646 5.424331 11.990920 27.756223 65.801395 155.843733 393.753860
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.103770 4.875357 11.154461 26.804610 66.114513 163.103566 431.158624
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.882665 4.511276 10.677090 26.623199 68.294275 175.440043 485.116824
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.717377 4.251945 10.402967 26.898325 71.717369 191.743984 554.354404
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.555104 3.972345 10.032801 26.860703 74.328652 206.534178 623.406900
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.460505 3.849109 10.036305 27.826951 79.938674 230.935139 728.136303
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.340303 3.637822 9.774986 28.014411 83.383630 249.961209 821.572530
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.195010 3.333583 9.212347 27.231490 83.792469 260.061194 888.874647
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.083268 3.104176 8.818113 26.872126 85.442412 274.442139 975.111578